Alex Rybakov vs Thai Kwiatkowski Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Kwiatkowski has shown slightly superior performance on their second serve, winning 50% of points compared to Rybakov's 48% in the past six months.
• In terms of return games, Kwiatkowski also edges out Rybakov, claiming 44.68% of opponents' second serve points, while Rybakov accounts for 43.12%.
• The statistics show Kwiatkowski matches Rybakov closely on first serve returns, 25.93% to 25.55%.
• Under pressure, Kwiatkowski is slightly better, saving 63.16% of breakpoints versus Rybakov's 61.17%.
• Looking at overall performance, Kwiatkowski has struggled in the past year with a 0% match win rate, whereas Rybakov boasts a 67.09% win rate.
• On their preferred surfaces, Kwiatkowski excels on Hard courts (60% win rate), while Rybakov performs best on I.hard (64%).
• Kwiatkowski played mostly at the Main tour level but failed to secure a win, whereas Rybakov found better success on lower-tier Challenger/ITF tournaments, winning 60% of matches.
• Historically, Kwiatkowski and Rybakov are evenly matched in head-to-head competitions, each winning once and splitting their set victories evenly.
• Match durations between them have averaged over two hours, indicating close contests.
• So far, the deciding set matches and tiebreakers between them have been evenly won, 1-1 in each category.
• Kwiatkowski's recent breakpoint conversion rate lags at 20%, while Rybakov's is more efficient at nearly 29%.
• Over the last year, Kwiatkowski faced slightly lower-ranked opponents than Rybakov, indicating potentially less competitive matchups.
• Rybakov shows a clear upper hand should this match extend to a deciding set, having won 56% of such scenarios in the past year, against Kwiatkowski's 0%.

Editorial Prediction (September 8, 2025, UTC):

Given the statistics, Rybakov's recent form and ability to win a high percentage of matches suggest a psychological advantage going into this match. His success in converting breakpoints and performance in Challenger/ITF events indicates he's been able to capitalize on key points effectively.

In direct encounters, there's clearly a balance, but Rybakov's recent triumph in their last match on hard court could provide both confidence and a strategic edge.

Considering the deciding set performance, Rybakov has demonstrated resilience and an ability to close out tight matches, unlike Kwiatkowski who has struggled in similar situations recently.

Thus, all statistical evidence and historical comparisons illustrate that Rybakov is the more likely winner in this upcoming head-to-head contest.